1. Interpretation
The total number of deaths in 2021 reached the highest level since the inception of cause-of-death statistics in 1983. The CDR of 618.9 is also the highest recorded since 1984, when it was 585.2. Korea’s aging population continues to drive increases in both total deaths and the CDR. In 2021, the population aged 65 and older grew by 5.4%, while deaths in this demographic rose by 5.6%. Of the 12,732 additional deaths compared to 2020, 13,224 occurred in the 65-and-older group, whereas deaths under age 65 actually decreased by 490.
In 2021, Korea experienced a net population reduction. The country recorded 260,600 live births, reflecting a decline of 11,800 (4.3%) compared to 2020 [
6]. The total fertility rate for 2021 was 0.81 children per woman, continuing the trend of ultra-low birth rates. With total deaths reaching 317,680, there was a net population decrease of 57,080, excluding the effects of immigration and emigration. This trend is likely to persist unless the total fertility rate is restored.
Sepsis entered the top 10 causes of death in 2020 and rose to ninth place in 2021, overtaking hypertensive diseases. It involves a systemic inflammatory response (e.g., fever, tachypnea) triggered by microbial infection, posing significant risks for older adults and those with chronic conditions. Because early symptoms can be subtle, sepsis can progress rapidly, underscoring the need for comprehensive management alongside other age-related conditions such as Alzheimer’s disease and pneumonia.
Among women, hypertensive diseases moved up to seventh place, replacing intentional self-harm, and COVID-19 emerged as the 10th leading cause of death, replacing chronic lower respiratory diseases (
Figure 4). There was no change in the top 10 causes of death for men.
Deaths from transport accidents have steadily declined, likely due to the establishment of school zones for children in 1995, the 2020 implementation of a road safety law aimed at protecting children in school zones [
10], stricter penalties for driving under the influence, and increased societal emphasis on safe driving practices.
Intentional self-harm deaths increased in 2021, with reported rises in methods such as medication overdose and jumping. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly exacerbated depression, unemployment, and financial stress for many in Korea. Studies indicate that pandemic-related job loss heightened the risk of depression and suicidal ideation, especially among adults with lower income and education levels [
11]. Research on the first 10 months of COVID-19 in Korea found that approximately 1.1 million jobs were lost—4.2% of non-farm employment as of April 2020—and these losses continued through December 2020 [
12]. Korea’s intentional self-harm mortality rate of 26.0 per 100,000 is the highest among 38 OECD countries (OECD average, 11.1) [
13]. In response, the Ministry of Health and Welfare has established the “National Suicide Prevention Action Plan,” seeking to reduce the suicide death rate to below 20 per 100,000 and total suicides to fewer than 10,000 per year [
14]. More proactive policies are required, including restricting access to lethal means, implementing school-based awareness programs, offering pharmacological and psychological treatments for depression, providing gatekeeper training programs, educating physicians, and expanding Internet and helpline support [
15]. Among gatekeeper training programs, “Suicide CARE” is widely used in Korea for the early detection of suicidal risk. The program consists of 3 parts: “Careful observation” (detecting verbal and non-verbal signals for self-harm), “Active listening” (hearing the reasons for suicidal intent), and “Risk evaluation and Expert referral” (connecting at-risk individuals to psychiatric professionals) [
16]. Physician participation in such programs is crucial to reducing intentional self-harm.
Older patients in long-term care hospitals face significantly higher odds of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection (odds ratio [OR], 2.91; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.33–3.64) and COVID-19 mortality (OR, 3.58; 95% CI, 2.13–6.02) [
17]. From January 2020 to August 2023, 35,605 COVID-19-related deaths were recorded in Korea, with over 90.0% of these occurring in older adults or those with underlying health conditions. The case fatality rate was 0.10%, and the mortality rate was 69 per 100,000 people. Among all age groups, the highest case fatality rate (1.75%) was observed among individuals aged 80 and older. Korea’s COVID-19 case fatality rate remains among the lowest in the world [
18]. The 5,030 COVID-19 deaths in 2021 were also among the lowest totals globally, attributable to stringent quarantine measures and high-quality medical care.
1) Limitation
A major strength of this study is that it analyzed the complete national death certificate database. However, a limitation is the potential for misclassification on death certificates or incomplete documentation for certain causes of death. Nevertheless, extensive administrative linkage and standardized coding helped mitigate these issues.
2) Suggestion for further study
The issue of deaths resulting from intentional self-harm warrants more in-depth analysis to identify effective prevention strategies. A follow-up study is necessary to continuously monitor changes in the causes of death.
3) Generalizability
Korea’s life expectancy ranks among the highest worldwide, reflecting high standards of hygiene and medical services. The current findings may serve as a model for rapidly developing Asian countries. However, Korea’s circumstances—particularly its high life expectancy and low fertility rates—may differ from those of other nations. Therefore, the external generalizability of these results to non-aging or lower-income countries may be limited.
4) Conclusion
Remarkable findings from the 2021 death statistics include the rise of sepsis to ninth place among the top 10 causes of death (overtaking hypertensive diseases) and the emergence of COVID-19 as the 10th leading cause of death for women. Given the increasing number of individuals aged 80 and older, the total number of deaths is likely to keep rising. Meanwhile, Korea’s low total fertility rate, driven by changing attitudes toward marriage and childbirth, makes a birth-rate rebound unlikely. Consequently, a dramatic population decline is anticipated in the near future.